Worked a $20B Manned Space Flight program a few years ago, when called in to help with getting back on schedule. The Finance Manager (CFO of the Program) opened the kickoff meeting with ...
What's the difference between our program and the Boy Scouts?
Everyone in the room looked around puzzled
The Boy Scouts have adult supervision
This matches Tim Lister quote
Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects
NO non-trivial project or program can be successful in the absence of Risk Management.
All Risk Management process steps here ......require making credible estimates of the probability of occurrence for risk created by Epistemic uncertainty, statistical (Stochastic) processes for risk created by Aleatory uncertainty
NO project operating in the presence of uncertainty can be successful in the absence of Estimating.
Any suggestion that #Noestimates is viable for any non-de-minimis project is a fallacy