Estimating is a critical part of project planning, involving a quantitative estimate of project costs, resources, or duration.
Here's a starting summary of Estimating Want To Learn How To Estimate? Part Troisième
And blogs that speak to estimating projects in the presence of uncertainties that create risks to cost, schedule, and technical performance, going back to 2005
- The Economics of Strategy
- Epistemic and Aleatory Uncertainty Creates Risk to Project Success
- How Do Projects Fail? Let Us Count the Ways
- The Story Counting Fallacy Without Knowing Underlying Statistics
- Ignorance Versus "Willful Ignorance"
- Without a Road Map, We're Driving in the Dark With The Lights Off
- Software Estimating Processes and the Fallacy of the Week
- Function Points and Software Development Estimating
- Non-Ergodic Behaviour of Projects
- Why Johnny Can't Do The Math
- Why Johnny Can't Estimate? (Update)
- How To Produce and Covey Credible Software Development Estimates
- Start with the End in Mind
- You Can Not "Control" Projects
- Value Theory for Projects and Estimating
- Predicting the Unpredictable (A Book Review)
- Phrases Used for Technical Performance Measures
- Are Estimates Really The Smell of Dysfunction?
- What Are Story Points and How Can They Be Used on Agile Projects?
- Cost and Value Management for Software Development
- 3 Questions That Must Be Asked at Every Project Management Meeting
- Decision Analysis - Ordinal and Cardinal Measures
- Decision Making in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Managing in the Presence of Risk
- Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success
- Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty
- Why Johnny Can't Estimate? (Update)
- Don't Be Fooled
- Are Estimates Really The Smell of Dysfunction?
- Classification of Different Types of Uncertainty
- Monte Carlo Simulation
- Mathematics for Engineering and Software Development
- Value, Cost, and Business Decision Making
- Why Estimates are Needed for Success in the Nondeterministic Universe
- Real Options and Decision Making for ICT Projects
- Average is Just a Number - Fallacy of the Week
- Modeling the Future Using Empirical Data from the Past
- Reasons to Estimate and Measure
- Small Batch Sizes are NOT Risk Management
- Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development
- Monte Carlo Simulation
- Uncertainty creates Risk, Decisions in Presence of Uncertainty Requires Estimating
- Principles of Cost and Schedule Estimating
- Fallacy of the Day - Estimation is pretentious rationalism
- Cone of Uncertainty and Estimate to Complete and Estimate at Completion
- Cone of Uncertainty Bibliography
- Resources for Cone of Uncertainty
- When to Estimate and When Estimates aren't Needed
- Independent Cost Estimating (ICE)
- Behavioral Economics, Estimating, and Decision Making in Presence of Uncertainty
- When Will The G-Line Be Ready For Use?
- The Flaw of Average (Mean) and Its Cousin Mode and Median
- 4 Fallacious Reasons Why We Estimate and Why Those Are Fallacious
- Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty
- Why Johnny Still Cannot Estimate
- What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?
- GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide Applied to Agile
- Estimating Tools and Resources (Updated)
- Numbers and Their Usefulness in Decision Making
- Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty
- Decisions Without Estimates?
- The Five Laws of Software Estimating are Wrong
- How to Talk About Estimates
- Median, Mean, Mode without Variance is Worthless
- Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty (Update Part 2)
- Managing in Presence of Uncertainty
- Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)
- Managing Uncertainty, Risk, Threat, and Opportunity
- Cost Estimating Assessment Criteria
- Estimates, Forecasts, Projections (Update)
- Estimating is a Learned Skill
- Closed-Loop Control and Granularity of the Estimating Process
- Agile Estimating Methods and Impact on Project Development Performance Index
- Estimating on Non-Trivial Software Projects
- Quick Summary of Estimating Advice
- Book of the Month - IT Project Estimation: A Practical Guide to the Costing of Software
- How to Estimate Any Software Problem
- Estimating is an Everyday Life and Everyday Projects
- How Do You Estimate Work That's Never Been Done Before?
- NOT Negotiating Estimates is an Example of Bad Management (Update)
- Forecasting Cost and Schedule Performance in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Estimating the Future Based on What We Know Today
- Estimating Software Intensive Systems
- Debunking: The Five Laws of Software Estimating
- Decision Making in the Presence of Uncertainty
- The Unmyths of Estimating
- Determining Schedule Margin with Monte Carlo Simulation
- Deterministic, Probabilistic, and Empiricism
- Why We Need To Estimate Software Cost and Schedule
- Estimates and Commitment
- The Flaw of Averages
- Reasoning About the "Estimating" Problem
- Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing
- Estimating and Making Decisions in Presence of Uncertainty
- Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis
- What Happened to our Basic Math Skills?
- Making Decisions In The Presence of Uncertainty (Part 1)
- Information Technology Estimating Quality
- Climbing Mountains Requires Good Estimates
- Monte Carlo Simulation of Project Performance
- The Fallacy of the Planning Fallacy
- Forecasting the Future is Critical to All Success
- The Flaw of Empirical Data Used to Make Decisions About the Future
- Approximating for Improved Understanding
- How to Avoid the "Yesterday's Weather" Estimating Problem
- Some More Background on Probability, Needed for Estimating
- Critical Success Factors of IT Forecasting
- Flaw of Averages
- Calculating Value from Software Projects - Estimating is a Risk Reduction Process
- Five Estimating Pathologies and Their Corrective Actions
- Estimating Probabilistic Outcomes? Of Course, We Can!
- Empirical Data Used to Estimate Future Performance Re-Deux
- The Cost Estimating Problem
- What does it mean when we say 80% confidence in a number?
- Sources for Reference Class Forecasting
- We Suck At Estimating
- Estimating is Risk Management
- Planning And Estimating Is Required for Project Success
- Bayesian Statistics and Project Work
- Planning is the Basis of Decision Making in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Three Increasingly Mature Views of Estimate Making in IT Projects - Update
- Estimating Guidance - Updated
- Bad Estimation Is a Systematic Problem
- Estimating on Agile Projects
- Constructing a Credible Estimate
- Software Estimating for Non-Trivial Projects
- Show Me Your Math
- Estimating Guidance
- Should I Be Estimating My Work?
- Decision Making Without Estimates?
- How to Estimate Software Development - Update
- Estimating Software-Intensive Systems
- Statistical Significance
- Why We Must Learn to Estimate
- Making Estimates For Your Project Requires Discipline, Skill, and Experience
- An Agile Estimating Story
- The Three Elements of Project Work and Their Estimates
- How To Fix Martin Fowler's Estimating Problem in 3 Easy Steps
- Is There Such a Thing As Making Decisions Without Knowing the Cost?
- Why Johnny Can't Estimate or the Dystopia of Poor Estimating Practices
- Some more answers to the estimating questions
- 8 Reasons Why Estimates Are Too Low
- Three Kinds of Uncertainty About the Estimated Cost and Schedule
- It's an Estimating Problem not A Problem with Estimating
- Let's Stop Guessing and Learn How to Estimate
- How To Estimate, If You Really Want To (Updated)
- The Value of Making An Estimate
- How To Estimate Almost Anything If You Really Want To
- Facts and Fallacies of Estimating Software Cost and Schedule
- Estimating Accuracy
- Nice Estimating Example
- How To and How Not To Make Credible Estimates of Cost and Schedule
- Books for Cost and Schedule Forecasting
- How To Estimate Almost Any Software Deliverable in 90 Seconds
- Estimating Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance
- Reference Class Forecasting for Software Estimating
- Software Estimating Taxonomy
- Software Cost Estimating Information - Updated
- Alternatives to Agile Estimation
- Forecasting The Future is Sporty Business, So Knowledge, Skill and Experience is Needed
- Want to Forecast the Future? Here's How - Part 2
- Can We Make a Decision Without Knowing the Cost?
- How to Forecast the Future
- How NOT to Estimate Anything
- What's Gonna Cost and When Will We Be Done?
- Why Estimating Is Mandatory
- Credible Estimating Processes
- Estimates and all that...
- Why 3 Point Estimates Create False Optimism
- Software Estimating
- Using Estimates as a Management Tool
