Herding Cats: Model Based Design

October 18, 2021

Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

This collection of presentations, briefings, journal and conference papers, essays, and book content has been used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other business and... Read more →

Posted at 12:19 PM in Agile, Architecture, Balanced Scorecard, Books, Business, Capabilities, Capabilities Based Planning, CAS, Compendium, CompendiumCollections, Decision Making, Deliverables Based Planning(r), Earned Value, ERP, Estimating, Governance, Government, IMP/IMS, Management, Model Based Design, NASA, Performance-Based Project Management®, Planning, PMI, Principles, Product Management, Project Management, Requirements, Research, Risk, Root Cause Analysis, Scheduling, Strategy, Systems Engineering, Systems Theory, Technical Performance Measures, Technology, Things I Know About, WBS | Permalink | Comments (0)

October 08, 2019

Capabilities Based Planning

Over the years, the success rate of traditional project management methods applied to software development projects has been underwhelming. These traditional methods are based on a retrospective approach that measures variance against plan rather than providing a performance–forecast that can... Read more →

Posted at 08:16 AM in Capabilities Based Planning, Decision Making, Deliverables Based Planning(r), Estimating, Governance, Management, Model Based Design, Performance-Based Project Management®, Planning, Principles, Project Management, Requirements | Permalink | Comments (0)

September 20, 2019

Presentations from PGCS 2019

This was my second year at the Project and Program Symposium in Canberra Australia. This year's conference focused on the integration of Systems Engineering and Project and Program Performance Management. Here are my talks and a workshop and other papers... Read more →

Posted at 11:26 PM in Architecture, Capabilities, Capabilities Based Planning, Complexity, Estimating, Governance, IMP/IMS, Management, Model Based Design, Performance-Based Project Management®, Planning, Principles, Systems Engineering | Permalink | Comments (0)

September 09, 2019

Non-Ergodic Behaviour of Projects

In a previous post Why Johnny Can't Do The Math, the suggestion that estimates are non-ergodic is a Category error. It's the underlying processes that are ergodic or non-ergodic, not the estimates of that process. In this case, the project... Read more →

Posted at 05:39 AM in Estimating, Mathematics, Model Based Design | Permalink | Comments (0)

November 05, 2018

Why Johnny Can't Do The Math

A previous post, Why Johnny Can't Estimate, mentioned some resources for estimating, the principles of business and technical management that demand estimates be made to make decisions, and background on the sources of uncertainty, that create risk, that require estimating... Read more →

Posted at 08:04 AM in #NoEstimates, Debunking, Don't Be Fooled, Economics, Estimating, Fallacy of the Week, Mathematics, Model Based Design, Principles, Risk, Root Cause Analysis | Permalink | Comments (0)

October 16, 2018

Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

There's a notion going around that ... “I don’t believe you can make a model of a possible future.” This ignores the principles of predictive analytics, and the direct management actions taken to produce outcomes from those analytical models found... Read more →

Posted at 09:01 AM in Architecture, Capabilities, Decision Making, Estimating, IMP/IMS, Mathematics, Model Based Design, Performance-Based Project Management®, Product Management, Project Management, Requirements, Risk, Technical Performance Measures | Permalink | Comments (0)